Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Not Started
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Expected Goals
3.25 (league 1.64) 0.56 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 8.5% 3.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
11.7%
4 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.3% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLensMetz
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack100%8%
Defense58%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lens Metz
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins83%58%71%17%8%13%
Draws0%17%8%25%8%17%
Loses17%25%21%58%83%71%

Form: Lens: LWWLWDWWWLWWWWWWWWLWWWLD • Metz: LLLDLDLLLWWWLLLLDLLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Lens Metz
HATHAT
GF total232245101222
GF avg1.91.81.90.81.00.9
GA total81321193453
GA avg0.71.10.91.62.82.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLensMetz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%63%58%83%
1.563%17%33%54%
2.529%8%0%50%
3.58%0%0%17%
4.54%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLensMetz
HATHAT
Clean sheets639314
Failed to score1346410

Penalties

MetricLensMetz
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricLensMetz
Wins83
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-52-00-2
Biggest losses2-33-12-56-1
Goals For3522
Goals Against3356

Model comparison

MetricLensMetz
Form91%9%
Att92%8%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Winner : Lens

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw6.50 @ Betfair
Away11.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lens = 3.25 (league 1.64), Metz = 0.56 (league 1.26)

Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.3% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 3.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1