Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:15 • Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.63) 0.70 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.9% 24.0% 15.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 9.4% 6.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 10.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLilleLorient
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack27%82%
Defense82%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lille Lorient
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%42%50%50%17%33%
Draws17%17%17%42%33%38%
Loses25%42%33%8%50%29%

Form: Lille: DWWWLLDWWLWLWWWWLLLLDDWW • Lorient: LWLLDWLDLDLDDWWDDWWWLWDD

League goals

Metric Lille Lorient
HATHAT
GF total191837241034
GF avg1.61.51.52.00.81.4
GA total131831182038
GA avg1.11.51.31.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLilleLorient
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%71%79%
1.529%38%42%38%
2.521%21%25%21%
3.517%4%4%8%
4.58%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLilleLorient
HATHAT
Clean sheets448325
Failed to score268077

Penalties

MetricLilleLorient
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLilleLorient
Wins43
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-74-01-3
Biggest losses1-43-01-74-0
Goals For6743
Goals Against4374

Model comparison

MetricLilleLorient
Form50%50%
Att25%75%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h60%40%
Goals65%35%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lille or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ 188Bet
Away6.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lille = 1.67 (league 1.63), Lorient = 0.70 (league 1.26)

Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 9.4% 6.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 10.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 15.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1