Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 19:45 • Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.63) 0.53 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.4% 24.8% 12.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
15.1%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 12.3% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 10.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyonParis FC
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack64%36%
Defense45%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon Paris FC
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins82%38%58%25%25%25%
Draws0%23%13%33%33%33%
Loses18%38%29%42%42%42%

Form: Lyon: WWWLWWLLWDDLDWLWWWWWWWLL • Paris FC: LLWWLDWLLDWLLDDLLWDDDLDW

League goals

Metric Lyon Paris FC
HATHAT
GF total192039151328
GF avg1.71.51.61.31.11.2
GA total71926221840
GA avg0.61.51.11.81.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyonParis FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%71%75%
1.546%33%38%46%
2.521%25%8%25%
3.54%0%0%13%
4.54%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyonParis FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512336
Failed to score033437

Penalties

MetricLyonParis FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricLyonParis FC
Wins72
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-52-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-10-55-2
Goals For3532
Goals Against3355

Model comparison

MetricLyonParis FC
Form60%40%
Att64%36%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lyon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 1xBet
Draw4.25 @ 1xBet
Away5.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.06 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 1.57 (league 1.63), Paris FC = 0.53 (league 1.25)

Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 12.3% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 10.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 12.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1