Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:45 • Parc des Princes
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.64) 0.38 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.3% 12.6% 4.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.6%
3 - 0
14.5%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 5.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.5% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis Saint GermainMonaco
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris Saint Germain Monaco
HATHAT
Played111324131124
Wins91%62%75%62%27%46%
Draws9%15%13%8%27%17%
Loses0%23%13%31%45%38%

Form: Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWDWWWLWWWWWWWLWW • Monaco: WLWWWLDDWWLLLWLLLLDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Paris Saint Germain Monaco
HATHAT
GF total302353271340
GF avg2.71.82.22.11.21.7
GA total41519191736
GA avg0.41.20.81.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis Saint GermainMonaco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%46%75%75%
1.558%21%42%42%
2.542%13%29%25%
3.513%0%13%8%
4.513%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis Saint GermainMonaco
HATHAT
Clean sheets9413426
Failed to score022156

Penalties

MetricParis Saint GermainMonaco
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricParis Saint GermainMonaco
Wins73
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-03-64-03-5
Biggest losses—3-11-44-1
Goals For5655
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricParis Saint GermainMonaco
Form48%52%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total60.5%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ 1xBet
Draw6.12 @ Pinnacle
Away8.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Betano
Under 2.53.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain = 2.47 (league 1.64), Monaco = 0.38 (league 1.25)

Monaco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 5.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.5% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.3% · Draw 12.6% · Away win 4.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1