Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 20:05 •
Stadium de Toulouse
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.60)
1.63 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.0% | 23.3% | 38.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Marseille | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toulouse | 0 | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Toulouse | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 13% | 47% |
| Defense | 67% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Toulouse | Marseille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 42% | 54% |
| Draws | 42% | 17% | 29% | 25% | 8% | 17% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 8% | 50% | 29% |
ToulouseWWLLLDWWLDDDLDWWLWWDLLDL
MarseilleLWLWWWWWLDWWWDLWLWWDLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Toulouse | Marseille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 19 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Toulouse | Marseille | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 29% | 58% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 8% | 38% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 21% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 17% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Toulouse | Marseille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Toulouse | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Toulouse | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 6-2 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 3-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Toulouse | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ 1xBet
Away2.27 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.16 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…