Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 • Orange Vélodrome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.62) 0.82 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.9% 13.2% 8.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
3 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Auxerre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille 0 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.8% 8.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarseilleAuxerre
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack46%38%
Defense15%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marseille Auxerre
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins67%46%56%23%8%16%
Draws25%8%16%23%33%28%
Loses8%46%28%54%58%56%

Form: Marseille: LWLWWWWWLDWWWDLWLWWDLDLWW • Auxerre: WLLLWLLDLLLLDDWLLLLDDWLDD

League goals

Metric Marseille Auxerre
HATHAT
GF total32205210919
GF avg2.71.52.10.80.80.8
GA total151833152035
GA avg1.31.41.31.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarseilleAuxerre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%72%44%76%
1.556%48%20%44%
2.536%4%12%16%
3.520%4%0%4%
4.516%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarseilleAuxerre
HATHAT
Clean sheets437516
Failed to score1567714

Penalties

MetricMarseilleAuxerre
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricMarseilleAuxerre
Wins51
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-53-11-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-33-0
Goals For6533
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricMarseilleAuxerre
Form54%46%
Att55%45%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h60%40%
Goals46%54%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Marseille or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 1xBet
Draw5.01 @ 1xBet
Away7.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.19 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marseille = 2.83 (league 1.62), Auxerre = 0.82 (league 1.26)

Auxerre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marseille 0 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.8% 8.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.9% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 8.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1