Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:15 • Stade Saint-Symphorien
Match Finished
3 - 4
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.62) 1.40 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.0% 27.3% 59.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.0%
0 - 0
15.0%
0 - 2
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Toulouse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 15.0% 21.0% 14.8% 6.9% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.4% 10.4% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetzToulouse
Played55
Form7%7%
Attack10%20%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metz Toulouse
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins17%8%12%31%33%32%
Draws25%8%16%38%17%28%
Loses58%85%72%31%50%40%

Form: Metz: LLLDLDLLLWWWLLLLDLLLDLLLL • Toulouse: WWLLLDWWLDDDLDWWLWWDLLDLL

League goals

Metric Metz Toulouse
HATHAT
GF total101222201333
GF avg0.80.90.91.51.11.3
GA total193756171229
GA avg1.62.82.21.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetzToulouse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%84%64%68%
1.532%56%40%28%
2.50%52%16%8%
3.50%16%8%4%
4.50%12%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetzToulouse
HATHAT
Clean sheets314538
Failed to score6511549

Penalties

MetricMetzToulouse
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricMetzToulouse
Wins32
Draws13
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-10-3
Biggest losses2-56-13-62-1
Goals For2253
Goals Against5662

Model comparison

MetricMetzToulouse
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h15%85%
Goals17%83%
Total29.8%70.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Toulouse and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.58 @ 1xBet
Away2.07 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.87 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metz = 0.49 (league 1.62), Toulouse = 1.40 (league 1.25)

Toulouse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 15.0% 21.0% 14.8% 6.9% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.4% 10.4% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.0% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 59.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1