Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 19:05 • Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.63) 1.57 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 25.1% 47.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 6.9% 10.8% 8.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.6% 12.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.2% 6.6% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLilleLens
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack44%75%
Defense81%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lille Lens
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins54%50%52%86%54%70%
Draws23%14%19%0%15%7%
Loses23%36%30%14%31%22%

Form: Lille: DWWWLLDWWLWLWWWWLLLLDDWWDWW • Lens: LWWLWDWWWLWWWWWWWWLWWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Lille Lens
HATHAT
GF total202242312354
GF avg1.51.61.62.21.82.0
GA total14203491524
GA avg1.11.41.30.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLilleLens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%85%63%
1.533%33%63%19%
2.519%19%33%7%
3.515%4%11%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLilleLens
HATHAT
Clean sheets4487310
Failed to score268134

Penalties

MetricLilleLens
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricLilleLens
Wins48
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-75-10-5
Biggest losses1-43-02-33-1
Goals For6755
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricLilleLens
Form65%35%
Att37%63%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lille or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ 1xBet
Draw3.44 @ 1xBet
Away2.67 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.05 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.26 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lille = 1.10 (league 1.63), Lens = 1.57 (league 1.26)

Lens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 6.9% 10.8% 8.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.6% 12.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.2% 6.6% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 47.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1