Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 15:15 • Stade du Moustoir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.63) 1.20 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.8% 23.8% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorient 0 5.4% 6.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.1% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLorientParis FC
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack35%26%
Defense65%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lorient Paris FC
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins54%14%33%31%21%26%
Draws38%36%37%31%43%37%
Loses8%50%30%38%36%37%

Form: Lorient: LWLLDWLDLDLDDWWDDWWWLWDDDWL • Paris FC: LLWWLDWLLDWLLDDLLWDDDLDWDDW

League goals

Metric Lorient Paris FC
HATHAT
GF total261137181432
GF avg2.00.81.41.41.01.2
GA total192241241943
GA avg1.51.61.51.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLorientParis FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%81%70%74%
1.541%33%37%44%
2.522%19%11%22%
3.54%7%0%11%
4.50%4%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLorientParis FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325347
Failed to score088448

Penalties

MetricLorientParis FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricLorientParis FC
Wins32
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-74-00-55-2
Goals For4332
Goals Against7455

Model comparison

MetricLorientParis FC
Form40%60%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paris FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.33 @ 1xBet
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lorient = 1.72 (league 1.63), Paris FC = 1.20 (league 1.25)

Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorient 0 5.4% 6.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.1% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 26.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1