Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 15:15 •
Stade du Moustoir
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.60)
1.17 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.9% | 23.6% | 25.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Paris FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lorient | 0 | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 35% | 26% |
| Defense | 65% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lorient | Paris FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 54% | 14% | 33% | 31% | 21% | 26% |
| Draws | 38% | 36% | 37% | 31% | 43% | 37% |
| Loses | 8% | 50% | 30% | 38% | 36% | 37% |
LorientLWLLDWLDLDLDDWWDDWWWLWDDDWL
Paris FCLLWWLDWLLDWLLDDLLWDDDLDWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Lorient | Paris FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 11 | 37 | 18 | 14 | 32 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 19 | 22 | 41 | 24 | 19 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lorient | Paris FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 81% | 70% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 33% | 37% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 19% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lorient | Paris FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.33 @ 1xBet
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.17 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…