Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 15:15 • Stade Saint-Symphorien
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.62) 1.14 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 29.6% 39.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 11.9% 13.6% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.4% 7.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetzNantes
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack19%31%
Defense31%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metz Nantes
HATHAT
Played131427141226
Wins15%7%11%14%17%15%
Draws23%14%19%14%25%19%
Loses62%79%70%71%58%65%

Form: Metz: LLLDLDLLLWWWLLLLDLLLDLLLLLD • Nantes: LLWLDDDLWLLDDLLLWLLLLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Metz Nantes
HATHAT
GF total131225141024
GF avg1.00.90.91.00.80.9
GA total233760261945
GA avg1.82.62.21.91.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetzNantes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%81%62%85%
1.533%56%27%50%
2.54%52%4%23%
3.50%19%0%12%
4.50%11%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetzNantes
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score66125510

Penalties

MetricMetzNantes
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricMetzNantes
Wins31
Draws13
Losses55

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses2-56-11-44-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against5654

Model comparison

MetricMetzNantes
Form25%75%
Att38%63%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total48.5%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : Metz or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.56 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.74 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Metz = 0.99 (league 1.62), Nantes = 1.14 (league 1.26)

Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 11.9% 13.6% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.4% 7.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 39.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1