Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 18:45 •
Parc des Princes
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.60)
0.61 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2% | 18.2% | 9.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.7%
1 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lyon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris Saint Germain | 0 | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 92% | 31% |
| Defense | 69% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 85% | 64% | 74% | 71% | 33% | 52% |
| Draws | 8% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 33% | 21% |
| Loses | 8% | 21% | 15% | 21% | 33% | 28% |
Paris Saint GermainWWWWLWDDWDWWWLWWWWWWWLWWLWW
LyonWWWLWWLLWDDLDWLWWWWWWWLLDDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 27 | 61 | 23 | 20 | 43 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 10 | 19 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 48% | 83% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 22% | 41% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 15% | 17% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 68% | 32% |
| Total | 65.6% | 34.4% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.36 @ 1xBet
Draw6.26 @ Pinnacle
Away10.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.53.06 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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