Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:45 •
Orange Vélodrome
Expected Goals
3.12 (league 1.60)
1.02 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
3 - 0
8.0%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Nice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marseille | 0 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marseille | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 19% |
| Defense | 67% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marseille | Nice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 67% | 40% | 53% | 27% | 20% | 23% |
| Draws | 20% | 7% | 13% | 40% | 13% | 27% |
| Loses | 13% | 53% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
MarseilleLWLWWWWWLDWWWDLWLWWDLDLWWWLLWL
NiceLWLWLDDWWWLLLLLLDLWDDLDLLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Marseille | Nice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 21 | 58 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 18 | 22 | 40 | 26 | 30 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marseille | Nice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 73% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 30% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 3% | 13% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 3% | 3% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 3% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marseille | Nice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marseille | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marseille | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 1-5 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marseille | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.73 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ Dafabet
Away5.20 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.42 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…