Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 18:30 • Huvepharma Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.33) 0.41 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.2% 11.9% 4.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
14.4%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Botev Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 5.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.9% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 6.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack100%40%
Defense90%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ludogorets Botev Plovdiv
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins67%100%80%0%50%20%
Draws33%0%20%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%67%50%60%

Form: Ludogorets: WWWWD • Botev Plovdiv: DLLLW

League goals

Metric Ludogorets Botev Plovdiv
HATHAT
GF total7411134
GF avg2.32.02.20.31.50.8
GA total1017310
GA avg0.30.00.22.31.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%20%60%100%
1.560%0%20%40%
2.540%0%0%20%
3.520%0%0%20%
4.520%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricLudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricLudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
Wins40
Draws01
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-31-2
Biggest losses0-52-1
Goals For5312
Goals Against1052

Model comparison

MetricLudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
Form76%24%
Att73%27%
Def91%9%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%37%
Total76.2%23.8%

Advice: Winner : Ludogorets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Unibet
Draw5.20 @ Unibet
Away10.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets = 2.59 (league 1.33), Botev Plovdiv = 0.41 (league 1.09)

Botev Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 5.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.9% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 6.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 4.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1