2. SNL — Slovenia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:00 • Športni park Lendava
Match Finished
5 - 1
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.60) 0.96 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 33.9% 39.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
17.9%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Jesenice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nafta 0 18.6% 17.9% 8.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaftaJesenice
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack71%50%
Defense71%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nafta Jesenice
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins100%67%83%0%50%17%
Draws0%33%17%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%50%50%

Form: Nafta: WWWDWW • Jesenice: DWLDLL

League goals

Metric Nafta Jesenice
HATHAT
GF total7512347
GF avg2.31.72.00.82.01.2
GA total224718
GA avg0.70.70.71.80.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaftaJesenice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%50%67%
1.567%33%33%50%
2.517%0%17%17%
3.517%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaftaJesenice
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricNaftaJesenice
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNaftaJesenice
Wins31
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-2—0-4
Biggest losses——0-31-0
Goals For4224
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricNaftaJesenice
Form76%24%
Att59%41%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Nafta or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.90 @ Marathonbet
Away6.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.42 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Marathonbet
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nafta = 0.72 (league 1.60), Jesenice = 0.96 (league 1.46)

Jesenice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nafta 0 18.6% 17.9% 8.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1