2. SNL — Slovenia
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:00 • Stanko Mlakar Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.59) 0.96 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 22.1% 18.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.0%
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Triglav 0 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.0% 10.5% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTriglavGorica
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack83%28%
Defense72%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 35 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Triglav Gorica
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins33%80%63%0%0%0%
Draws33%0%13%75%25%50%
Loses33%20%25%25%75%50%

Form: Triglav: WLLWWWDW • Gorica: DLLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Triglav Gorica
HATHAT
GF total71017606
GF avg2.32.02.11.50.00.8
GA total5497512
GA avg1.70.81.11.81.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTriglavGorica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%50%88%
1.563%50%25%50%
2.538%0%0%13%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTriglavGorica
HATHAT
Clean sheets033011
Failed to score011044

Penalties

MetricTriglavGorica
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricTriglavGorica
Wins30
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-3——
Biggest losses1-22-01-23-0
Goals For4420
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricTriglavGorica
Form81%19%
Att75%25%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h7%93%
Goals17%83%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Winner : Triglav

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.00 @ Superbet
Away4.91 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Triglav = 1.89 (league 1.59), Gorica = 0.96 (league 1.42)

Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Triglav 0 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.0% 10.5% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 18.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1