Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.54)
0.67 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8% | 21.9% | 13.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Dekani | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Beltinci | 0 | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Beltinci carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 176 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Beltinci +2.9, Dekani -0.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Beltinci
vs
Dekani
Elo gapBeltinci +176
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3018.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3018.8
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Beltinci | Dekani |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1580.1 | 1438.7 |
| Form Elo | 1590.6 | 1445.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1514.9 | 1469.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1660.5 | 1466.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1580.3 | 1394.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.9 | -0.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Beltinci last-5 Elo change: +2.9; Dekani last-5 Elo change: -0.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Beltinci | Dekani |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 69% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Beltinci | Dekani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 42% | 75% | 58% | 42% | 8% | 25% |
| Draws | 33% | 17% | 25% | 8% | 50% | 29% |
| Loses | 25% | 8% | 17% | 50% | 42% | 46% |
BeltinciLWDDWWWWWWLWLWWLDWWDDWDW
DekaniWWLDWLLLDLDLLLLDWDWDLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Beltinci | Dekani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 19 | 43 | 19 | 9 | 28 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Beltinci | Dekani | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 50% | 63% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 21% | 38% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 8% | 17% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Beltinci | Dekani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Beltinci | Dekani |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Beltinci | Dekani |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Beltinci | Dekani |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 70.2% | 29.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…