Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:30 • WWK Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.57) 1.98 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 21.8% 52.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Augsburg 0 3.9% 7.6% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
1 4.9% 9.7% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.2% 6.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC AugsburgFSV Mainz 05
Played33
Form33%11%
Attack30%5%
Defense70%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 21 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Augsburg FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%33%
Loses100%50%67%100%0%67%

Form: FC Augsburg: WLL • FSV Mainz 05: LDL

League goals

Metric FC Augsburg FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
GF total246011
GF avg2.02.02.00.01.00.3
GA total336213
GA avg3.01.52.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC AugsburgFSV Mainz 05
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%33%100%
1.567%67%0%0%
2.533%33%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC AugsburgFSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricFC AugsburgFSV Mainz 05
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFC AugsburgFSV Mainz 05
Wins10
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3——
Biggest losses2-32-10-1—
Goals For2301
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricFC AugsburgFSV Mainz 05
Form75%25%
Att86%14%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FSV Mainz 05

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away2.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Augsburg = 1.27 (league 1.57), FSV Mainz 05 = 1.98 (league 1.51)

FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Augsburg 0 3.9% 7.6% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
1 4.9% 9.7% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.2% 6.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 52.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1