Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:30 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
7.15 (league 1.54) 1.30 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 1.5% 0.8%
best score tips
5 - 1
4.3%
5 - 0
3.3%
4 - 1
3.0%
Score & goals probability table
Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.3% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenWerder Bremen
Played44
Form100%33%
Attack100%47%
Defense82%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 4.58 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.810 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München Werder Bremen
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%100%100%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%50%50%50%

Form: Bayern München: WWWW • Werder Bremen: LDWL

League goals

Metric Bayern München Werder Bremen
HATHAT
GF total11718358
GF avg5.53.54.51.52.52.0
GA total0336410
GA avg0.01.50.83.02.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenWerder Bremen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%75%75%
1.5100%25%50%75%
2.5100%0%50%75%
3.575%0%25%25%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenWerder Bremen
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenWerder Bremen
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenWerder Bremen
Wins41
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-40-4
Biggest losses0-34-1
Goals For6434
Goals Against0234

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenWerder Bremen
Form75%25%
Att69%31%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals88%13%
Total77.8%22.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Bayern München and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.12 @ 1xBet
Draw12.40 @ 1xBet
Away27.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.17 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 7.15 (league 1.54), Werder Bremen = 1.30 (league 1.54)

Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.3% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 1.5% · Away win 0.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1