Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:30 • Europa-Park-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.54) 3.86 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.1% 12.5% 52.9%
best score tips
1 - 3
5.6%
2 - 3
5.5%
1 - 4
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
1899 Hoffenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 2.1%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.6% 5.4% 4.2%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 4.1%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.6%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC Freiburg1899 Hoffenheim
Played44
Form50%50%
Attack42%42%
Defense58%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 28 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 210 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

95%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg 1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%0%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%100%0%50%

Form: SC Freiburg: LLWW • 1899 Hoffenheim: WLWL

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg 1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
GF total448268
GF avg2.02.02.01.03.02.0
GA total4487310
GA avg2.02.02.03.51.52.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC Freiburg1899 Hoffenheim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%100%
1.550%50%50%75%
2.550%50%25%50%
3.50%25%25%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC Freiburg1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSC Freiburg1899 Hoffenheim
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSC Freiburg1899 Hoffenheim
Wins01
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-4
Biggest losses1-34-11-4
Goals For3314
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricSC Freiburg1899 Hoffenheim
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h93%7%
Goals61%39%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : SC Freiburg or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg = 1.95 (league 1.54), 1899 Hoffenheim = 3.86 (league 1.55)

1899 Hoffenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 2.1%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.6% 5.4% 4.2%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 4.1%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.6%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 52.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1