Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:30 • BayArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.31 (league 1.54) 1.67 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.6% 14.3% 15.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.9%
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.8% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.9% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
4 3.4% 5.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack63%50%
Defense50%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%50%40%33%50%40%
Draws33%50%40%33%0%20%
Loses33%0%20%33%50%40%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDW • Union Berlin: WLLWD

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin
HATHAT
GF total5510448
GF avg1.72.52.01.32.01.6
GA total4485611
GA avg1.32.01.61.73.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%60%80%
1.560%40%60%60%
2.540%20%20%60%
3.50%0%20%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricBayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
Wins11
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-13-4
Biggest losses1-22-43-0
Goals For3324
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricBayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h85%15%
Goals88%13%
Total67.5%32.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 1xBet
Draw4.14 @ 1xBet
Away5.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 3.31 (league 1.54), Union Berlin = 1.67 (league 1.55)

Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.8% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.9% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
4 3.4% 5.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 15.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1