Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:30 • Borussia-Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.59) 4.47 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 8.7% 54.1%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.1%
1 - 3
5.4%
1 - 5
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.7% 5.4% 6.1% 5.4%
2 0.3% 1.3% 3.0% 4.4% 5.0% 4.4%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack45%82%
Defense0%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Mönchengladbach SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins0%0%0%33%50%40%
Draws33%50%40%33%0%20%
Loses67%50%60%33%50%40%

Form: Borussia Mönchengladbach: DLLDL • SC Freiburg: LLWWD

League goals

Metric Borussia Mönchengladbach SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total415549
GF avg1.30.51.01.72.01.8
GA total10212549
GA avg3.31.02.41.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%100%80%
1.520%40%40%40%
2.520%40%40%40%
3.520%40%0%20%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg
Wins02
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-3
Biggest losses0-41-01-34-1
Goals For4133
Goals Against6134

Model comparison

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg
Form22%78%
Att36%64%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total29.0%71.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : SC Freiburg and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.89 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.32 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Borussia Mönchengladbach = 1.63 (league 1.59), SC Freiburg = 4.47 (league 1.48)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.7% 5.4% 6.1% 5.4%
2 0.3% 1.3% 3.0% 4.4% 5.0% 4.4%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 54.1%

vtt 3 , vtd1