Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:30 • SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.60 (league 1.54) 0.27 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.3% 10.4% 2.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.2%
3 - 0
16.6%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
RB Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 5.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia DortmundRB Leipzig
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack69%44%
Defense81%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Dortmund RB Leipzig
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins100%67%80%100%67%80%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%33%20%

Form: Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW • RB Leipzig: LWWWW

League goals

Metric Borussia Dortmund RB Leipzig
HATHAT
GF total4711527
GF avg2.02.32.22.50.71.4
GA total033167
GA avg0.01.00.60.52.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia DortmundRB Leipzig
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%20%80%40%
1.580%20%40%20%
2.540%20%20%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia DortmundRB Leipzig
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricBorussia DortmundRB Leipzig
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBorussia DortmundRB Leipzig
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses6-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against0316

Model comparison

MetricBorussia DortmundRB Leipzig
Form52%48%
Att61%39%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total46.4%53.6%

Advice: Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw4.80 @ Betano
Away4.49 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Pinnacle
No3.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 2.60 (league 1.54), RB Leipzig = 0.27 (league 1.55)

RB Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 5.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.3% · Draw 10.4% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1