Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:30 • Weserstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.54) 1.93 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 21.8% 58.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 1
10.3%
0 - 2
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 5.5% 10.6% 10.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.6% 5.0% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWerder BremenFC St. Pauli
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense13%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Werder Bremen FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%50%40%
Draws50%0%20%33%0%20%
Loses50%67%60%33%50%40%

Form: Werder Bremen: LDWLL • FC St. Pauli: DWWLL

League goals

Metric Werder Bremen FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
GF total358628
GF avg1.51.71.62.01.01.6
GA total6814628
GA avg3.02.72.82.01.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWerder BremenFC St. Pauli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%80%
1.540%80%60%60%
2.540%80%20%20%
3.520%40%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWerder BremenFC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricWerder BremenFC St. Pauli
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWerder BremenFC St. Pauli
Wins12
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-42-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-01-22-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricWerder BremenFC St. Pauli
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC St. Pauli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw3.76 @ 1xBet
Away3.01 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Werder Bremen = 0.97 (league 1.54), FC St. Pauli = 1.93 (league 1.55)

FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 5.5% 10.6% 10.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.6% 5.0% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 58.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1