Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:30 • Mewa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.62) 2.16 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 19.6% 61.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 4.3% 9.2% 10.0% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack42%92%
Defense25%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins0%33%17%50%50%50%
Draws0%33%17%25%50%33%
Loses100%33%67%25%0%17%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLL • Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWW

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
GF total0557512
GF avg0.01.70.81.82.52.0
GA total4610448
GA avg1.32.01.71.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%100%83%
1.517%33%67%33%
2.517%17%33%17%
3.517%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score314000

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-43-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-2—
Goals For0433
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Form27%73%
Att31%69%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total33.0%67.2%

Advice: Winner : Bayer Leverkusen

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ 1xBet
Draw3.61 @ 1xBet
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 0.99 (league 1.62), Bayer Leverkusen = 2.16 (league 1.50)

Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 4.3% 9.2% 10.0% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 61.8%

vtt 8 , vtd1