Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:30 • Mewa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.53) 2.10 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.0% 20.4% 59.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 4.3% 9.0% 9.5% 6.6% 3.5% 1.5%
1 4.5% 9.4% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5%
2 2.4% 4.9% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack42%92%
Defense25%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins0%33%17%50%50%50%
Draws0%33%17%25%50%33%
Loses100%33%67%25%0%17%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLL • Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWW

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
GF total0557512
GF avg0.01.70.81.82.52.0
GA total4610448
GA avg1.32.01.71.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%100%83%
1.517%33%67%33%
2.517%17%33%17%
3.517%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score314000

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-43-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-2—
Goals For0433
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Form27%73%
Att31%69%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total33.0%67.2%

Advice: Winner : Bayer Leverkusen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ 1xBet
Draw3.61 @ 1xBet
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 1.05 (league 1.53), Bayer Leverkusen = 2.10 (league 1.55)

Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 4.3% 9.0% 9.5% 6.6% 3.5% 1.5%
1 4.5% 9.4% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5%
2 2.4% 4.9% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 59.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1