Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:30 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.54) 0.32 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.6% 9.7% 2.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.5%
3 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hamburger SV
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig 0 4.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.7% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.1% 5.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.1% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB LeipzigHamburger SV
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack67%50%
Defense83%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Leipzig Hamburger SV
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins100%50%67%67%0%33%
Draws0%25%17%0%67%33%
Loses0%25%17%33%33%33%

Form: RB Leipzig: LWWWWD • Hamburger SV: DLLWDW

League goals

Metric RB Leipzig Hamburger SV
HATHAT
GF total538606
GF avg2.50.81.32.00.01.0
GA total178358
GA avg0.51.81.31.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB LeipzigHamburger SV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%33%50%
1.533%17%33%33%
2.517%17%17%17%
3.50%17%17%17%
4.50%17%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB LeipzigHamburger SV
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricRB LeipzigHamburger SV
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRB LeipzigHamburger SV
Wins41
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-14-0
Biggest losses6-00-25-0
Goals For3140
Goals Against1625

Model comparison

MetricRB LeipzigHamburger SV
Form65%35%
Att57%43%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Double chance : RB Leipzig or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ 1xBet
Draw5.31 @ 1xBet
Away6.60 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.66 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig = 2.76 (league 1.54), Hamburger SV = 0.32 (league 1.55)

Hamburger SV
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig 0 4.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.7% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.1% 5.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.1% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.6% · Draw 9.7% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1