Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:30 • MHPArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.59) 1.02 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 24.6% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfB Stuttgart 0 7.0% 7.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.7% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfB StuttgartFSV Mainz 05
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack82%64%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfB Stuttgart FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%50%71%0%33%14%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%14%
Loses0%50%29%100%33%71%

Form: VfB Stuttgart: LWLWWWW • FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLL

League goals

Metric VfB Stuttgart FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
GF total4711358
GF avg1.31.81.60.81.71.1
GA total0668614
GA avg0.01.50.92.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfB StuttgartFSV Mainz 05
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%43%100%
1.543%29%29%43%
2.514%14%29%29%
3.50%0%14%29%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfB StuttgartFSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Clean sheets314000
Failed to score000314

Penalties

MetricVfB StuttgartFSV Mainz 05
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricVfB StuttgartFSV Mainz 05
Wins11
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-3—1-4
Biggest losses—3-10-24-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against0344

Model comparison

MetricVfB StuttgartFSV Mainz 05
Form80%20%
Att56%44%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total68.8%31.2%

Advice: Double chance : VfB Stuttgart or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ 1xBet
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away4.30 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfB Stuttgart = 1.64 (league 1.59), FSV Mainz 05 = 1.02 (league 1.50)

FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfB Stuttgart 0 7.0% 7.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.7% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1