Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:30 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.22 (league 1.59) 0.60 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 1.1% 0.4%
best score tips
5 - 0
8.5%
4 - 0
6.8%
5 - 1
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.5% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenBayer Leverkusen
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense82%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins100%100%100%60%67%63%
Draws0%0%0%20%33%25%
Loses0%0%0%20%0%13%

Form: Bayern München: WWWWWWWW • Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Bayern München Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
GF total1713309918
GF avg4.33.33.81.83.02.3
GA total1344711
GA avg0.30.80.50.82.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenBayer Leverkusen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%38%100%75%
1.5100%13%75%38%
2.588%0%38%25%
3.550%0%13%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenBayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenBayer Leverkusen
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenBayer Leverkusen
Wins81
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-43-13-4
Biggest losses1-2
Goals For6434
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenBayer Leverkusen
Form54%46%
Att59%41%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h62%38%
Goals75%25%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ 1xBet
Draw7.60 @ 188Bet
Away11.40 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.42 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 6.22 (league 1.59), Bayer Leverkusen = 0.60 (league 1.50)

Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.5% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 1.1% · Away win 0.4%

Vtot 42 , Vtod1