Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:30 • Mewa Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.53) 2.33 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.3% 19.3% 57.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
8.0%
1 - 3
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 2.6% 6.1% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
1 3.4% 8.0% 9.3% 7.2% 4.2% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.3% 6.1% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.0% 2.3% 2.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack73%36%
Defense0%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Werder Bremen
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%25%13%50%25%38%
Draws0%25%13%25%25%25%
Loses100%50%75%25%50%38%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLL • Werder Bremen: LDWLLWDW

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Werder Bremen
HATHAT
GF total3695712
GF avg0.81.51.11.31.81.5
GA total881661016
GA avg2.02.02.01.52.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%63%
1.525%50%38%63%
2.525%25%25%50%
3.513%25%13%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score314112

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-41-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-00-34-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Form30%70%
Att67%33%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h7%93%
Goals23%77%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Werder Bremen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 1xBet
Draw4.02 @ 1xBet
Away3.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 1.31 (league 1.53), Werder Bremen = 2.33 (league 1.55)

Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 2.6% 6.1% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
1 3.4% 8.0% 9.3% 7.2% 4.2% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.3% 6.1% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.0% 2.3% 2.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 57.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod2