Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:30 • Mewa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.59) 2.39 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.6% 18.7% 59.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 3
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 2.6% 6.2% 7.4% 5.9% 3.5% 1.7%
1 3.3% 7.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1%
2 2.1% 4.9% 5.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack73%36%
Defense0%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Werder Bremen
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%25%13%50%25%38%
Draws0%25%13%25%25%25%
Loses100%50%75%25%50%38%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLL • Werder Bremen: LDWLLWDW

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Werder Bremen
HATHAT
GF total3695712
GF avg0.81.51.11.31.81.5
GA total881661016
GA avg2.02.02.01.52.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%63%
1.525%50%38%63%
2.525%25%25%50%
3.513%25%13%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score314112

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-41-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-00-34-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Form30%70%
Att67%33%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h7%93%
Goals23%77%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Werder Bremen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ 188Bet
Draw4.14 @ 1xBet
Away4.24 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 1.26 (league 1.59), Werder Bremen = 2.39 (league 1.50)

Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 2.6% 6.2% 7.4% 5.9% 3.5% 1.7%
1 3.3% 7.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1%
2 2.1% 4.9% 5.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.6% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 59.0%

Vtot 31 , Vtod1