Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:30 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.59) 0.84 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.5% 18.9% 13.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig 0 4.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB LeipzigVfB Stuttgart
Played55
Form87%100%
Attack100%91%
Defense73%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Leipzig VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins100%60%75%100%50%75%
Draws0%20%13%0%0%0%
Loses0%20%13%0%50%25%

Form: RB Leipzig: LWWWWDWW • VfB Stuttgart: LWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric RB Leipzig VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
GF total79166713
GF avg2.31.82.01.51.81.6
GA total279167
GA avg0.71.41.10.31.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB LeipzigVfB Stuttgart
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%100%50%
1.550%13%50%25%
2.525%13%13%13%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.513%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB LeipzigVfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Clean sheets134314
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricRB LeipzigVfB Stuttgart
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricRB LeipzigVfB Stuttgart
Wins41
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-62-00-3
Biggest losses—6-0—3-1
Goals For3623
Goals Against1613

Model comparison

MetricRB LeipzigVfB Stuttgart
Form46%54%
Att57%43%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h20%80%
Goals44%56%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or VfB Stuttgart

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.12 @ 1xBet
Away3.48 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No2.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig = 2.17 (league 1.59), VfB Stuttgart = 0.84 (league 1.50)

VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig 0 4.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.5% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 47 , Vtod1