Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:30 • Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.56) 1.00 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.7% 23.7% 21.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 6.5% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.3% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BerlinSC Freiburg
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack64%55%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%25%25%25%
Draws25%0%13%50%25%38%
Loses25%75%50%25%50%38%

Form: Union Berlin: WLLWDLWL • SC Freiburg: LLWWDDDL

League goals

Metric Union Berlin SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total74117411
GF avg1.81.01.41.81.01.4
GA total69157613
GA avg1.52.31.91.81.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BerlinSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%75%75%
1.550%50%38%50%
2.525%38%25%25%
3.513%13%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BerlinSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricUnion BerlinSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricUnion BerlinSC Freiburg
Wins12
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-43-10-3
Biggest losses2-43-01-34-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricUnion BerlinSC Freiburg
Form54%46%
Att54%46%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Union Berlin or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin = 1.73 (league 1.56), SC Freiburg = 1.00 (league 1.50)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 6.5% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.3% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 21.6%

Vtot 31 , Vtod1