Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:30 • Volksparkstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.59) 1.20 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.9% 29.3% 41.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 11.8% 14.1% 8.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.3% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SVBorussia Dortmund
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack38%38%
Defense56%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins50%0%22%75%60%67%
Draws0%40%22%25%20%22%
Loses50%60%56%0%20%11%

Form: Hamburger SV: DLLWDWLLL • Borussia Dortmund: DWWWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
GF total6286915
GF avg1.50.40.91.51.81.7
GA total41115156
GA avg1.02.21.70.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SVBorussia Dortmund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%67%100%33%
1.522%44%44%22%
2.511%22%22%11%
3.511%22%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SVBorussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Clean sheets123336
Failed to score235000

Penalties

MetricHamburger SVBorussia Dortmund
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHamburger SVBorussia Dortmund
Wins14
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—3-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-0—2-1
Goals For4133
Goals Against2513

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SVBorussia Dortmund
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%100%
Goals11%89%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.96 @ 1xBet
Draw4.04 @ 1xBet
Away2.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Betano
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV = 0.94 (league 1.59), Borussia Dortmund = 1.20 (league 1.50)

Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 11.8% 14.1% 8.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.3% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 41.6%

Vtot 39 , Vtod1