Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:30 • Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.57) 2.62 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.8% 14.1% 73.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.2%
0 - 3
10.7%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 3.6% 9.4% 12.2% 10.7% 7.0% 3.7%
1 2.6% 6.7% 8.7% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6%
2 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack19%94%
Defense75%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin Bayern München
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%25%33%100%100%100%
Draws40%0%22%0%0%0%
Loses20%75%44%0%0%0%

Form: Union Berlin: WLLWDLWLD • Bayern München: WWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Union Berlin Bayern München
HATHAT
GF total7411201333
GF avg1.41.01.24.03.33.7
GA total6915134
GA avg1.22.31.70.20.80.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BerlinBayern München
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%78%100%33%
1.544%44%100%11%
2.522%33%89%0%
3.511%11%44%0%
4.50%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
HATHAT
Clean sheets202426
Failed to score235000

Penalties

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Wins19
Draws10
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-46-01-4
Biggest losses2-43-0
Goals For3464
Goals Against4312

Model comparison

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Form25%75%
Att17%83%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%87%
Total17.0%83.0%

Advice: Winner : Bayern München

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home14.00 @ Betano
Draw7.00 @ 188Bet
Away1.27 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Betano
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin = 0.71 (league 1.57), Bayern München = 2.62 (league 1.51)

Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 3.6% 9.4% 12.2% 10.7% 7.0% 3.7%
1 2.6% 6.7% 8.7% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6%
2 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.8% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 73.0%

Vtot 22 , Vtod4