Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:30 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.02 (league 1.59) 0.11 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.9% 5.9% 0.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
20.0%
4 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.1% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenSC Freiburg
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack87%27%
Defense80%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins100%80%90%40%20%30%
Draws0%20%10%40%40%40%
Loses0%0%0%20%40%30%

Form: Bayern München: WWWWWWWWWD • SC Freiburg: LLWWDDDLDW

League goals

Metric Bayern München SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total2015359413
GF avg4.03.03.51.80.81.3
GA total1568614
GA avg0.21.00.61.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%70%70%
1.5100%20%40%40%
2.580%0%20%20%
3.540%0%0%10%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets426033
Failed to score000033

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenSC Freiburg
Wins92
Draws03
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-43-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-1
Goals For6433
Goals Against1234

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenSC Freiburg
Form68%32%
Att76%24%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h93%7%
Goals77%23%
Total78.8%21.3%

Advice: Winner : Bayern München

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ 1xBet
Draw8.00 @ Bet365
Away17.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.53.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 3.02 (league 1.59), SC Freiburg = 0.11 (league 1.50)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.1% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.9% · Draw 5.9% · Away win 0.6%

Vtot 38 , Vtod1