Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:30 • SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.60) 0.32 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 21.7% 6.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 13.4% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 7.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack33%67%
Defense73%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Dortmund VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins75%50%60%100%40%70%
Draws25%33%30%0%0%0%
Loses0%17%10%0%60%30%

Form: Borussia Dortmund: DWWWWDLWWD • VfB Stuttgart: LWLWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Borussia Dortmund VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
GF total610169817
GF avg1.51.71.61.81.61.7
GA total1673912
GA avg0.31.00.70.61.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%100%60%
1.540%20%50%40%
2.520%10%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Clean sheets336314
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBorussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBorussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart
Wins45
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-3
Biggest losses—2-1—3-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricBorussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total47.6%52.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or VfB Stuttgart

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ 1xBet
Away4.45 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 1.69 (league 1.60), VfB Stuttgart = 0.32 (league 1.50)

VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 13.4% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 7.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 6.5%

Vtot 45 , Vtod1