Bundesliga — Germany
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:30 • Mewa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.56) 3.11 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.4% 9.8% 76.3%
best score tips
0 - 3
12.1%
0 - 2
11.6%
0 - 4
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
1899 Hoffenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 2.4% 7.5% 11.6% 12.1% 9.4% 5.8%
1 1.5% 4.6% 7.2% 7.4% 5.8% 3.6%
2 0.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 051899 Hoffenheim
Played55
Form7%80%
Attack29%71%
Defense29%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%20%10%40%80%60%
Draws20%20%20%0%20%10%
Loses80%60%70%60%0%30%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLLDL • 1899 Hoffenheim: WLWLDLWWWW

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
GF total461081321
GF avg0.81.21.01.62.62.1
GA total991810616
GA avg1.81.81.82.01.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 051899 Hoffenheim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%90%90%
1.520%40%60%40%
2.520%20%50%20%
3.510%20%10%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 051899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score325101

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 051899 Hoffenheim
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 051899 Hoffenheim
Wins11
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-43-10-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-4—
Goals For3434
Goals Against4442

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 051899 Hoffenheim
Form8%92%
Att29%71%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Winner : 1899 Hoffenheim

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.31 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 0.62 (league 1.56), 1899 Hoffenheim = 3.11 (league 1.50)

1899 Hoffenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 2.4% 7.5% 11.6% 12.1% 9.4% 5.8%
1 1.5% 4.6% 7.2% 7.4% 5.8% 3.6%
2 0.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 9.8% · Away win 76.3%

Vtot 77 , Vtod1