Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:30 • BayArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.59) 0.79 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 25.3% 18.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 9.4% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack100%50%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins67%60%64%60%50%55%
Draws17%20%18%40%33%36%
Loses17%20%18%0%17%9%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWWWWLWW • Borussia Dortmund: DWWWWDLWWDD

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
GF total15122791019
GF avg2.52.42.51.81.71.7
GA total411154610
GA avg0.72.21.40.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%100%45%
1.573%36%45%27%
2.545%27%27%18%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Clean sheets303336
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricBayer LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricBayer LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
Wins44
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-0—2-1
Goals For6433
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricBayer LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
Form60%40%
Att68%32%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals41%59%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away2.67 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 1.57 (league 1.59), Borussia Dortmund = 0.79 (league 1.50)

Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 9.4% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 18.8%

Vtot 43 , Vtod5