Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:30 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.72 (league 1.62) 0.20 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.3% 3.7% 0.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
17.0%
4 - 0
15.8%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.0% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.8% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.8% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenFC St. Pauli
Played55
Form87%0%
Attack100%7%
Defense64%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins100%80%91%17%20%18%
Draws0%20%9%17%0%9%
Loses0%0%0%67%80%73%

Form: Bayern München: WWWWWWWWWDW • FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Bayern München FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
GF total261541639
GF avg4.33.03.71.00.60.8
GA total35814721
GA avg0.51.00.72.31.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenFC St. Pauli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%45%45%91%
1.5100%27%27%64%
2.582%0%9%27%
3.545%0%0%9%
4.527%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenFC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Clean sheets426011
Failed to score000336

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenFC St. Pauli
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenFC St. Pauli
Wins92
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-42-10-2
Biggest losses0-42-0
Goals For6432
Goals Against2242

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenFC St. Pauli
Form100%0%
Att94%6%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total85.8%14.3%

Advice: Winner : Bayern München

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.13 @ 1xBet
Draw10.50 @ Unibet
Away30.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ Pinnacle
No1.63 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 3.72 (league 1.62), FC St. Pauli = 0.20 (league 1.50)

FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.0% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.8% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.8% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.3% · Draw 3.7% · Away win 0.6%

vtt 32 , vtd1