Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:30 • Weserstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.59) 1.12 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 25.7% 28.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
1. FC Köln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 7.3% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWerder Bremen1. FC Köln
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack43%64%
Defense57%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Werder Bremen 1. FC Köln
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins60%17%36%40%33%36%
Draws20%33%27%20%17%18%
Loses20%50%36%40%50%45%

Form: Werder Bremen: LDWLLWDWDWL • 1. FC Köln: WWDLLWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Werder Bremen 1. FC Köln
HATHAT
GF total781513720
GF avg1.41.31.42.61.21.8
GA total7132091019
GA avg1.42.21.81.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWerder Bremen1. FC Köln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%91%82%
1.536%55%36%45%
2.518%36%36%36%
3.59%18%18%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWerder Bremen1. FC Köln
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricWerder Bremen1. FC Köln
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWerder Bremen1. FC Köln
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-44-10-1
Biggest losses0-34-03-43-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricWerder Bremen1. FC Köln
Form67%33%
Att40%60%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals38%63%
Total54.3%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Werder Bremen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ 1xBet
Draw3.88 @ 1xBet
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Pinnacle
No2.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Werder Bremen = 1.50 (league 1.59), 1. FC Köln = 1.12 (league 1.50)

1. FC Köln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 7.3% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 28.3%

Vtot 37 , Vtod1