Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:30 • Volksparkstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.61) 0.87 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.0% 20.2% 14.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 5.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SVWerder Bremen
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack20%25%
Defense60%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV Werder Bremen
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%0%25%50%17%33%
Draws17%33%25%33%33%33%
Loses33%67%50%17%50%33%

Form: Hamburger SV: DLLWDWLLLDLW • Werder Bremen: LDWLLWDWDWLD

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV Werder Bremen
HATHAT
GF total92118816
GF avg1.50.30.91.31.31.3
GA total6121881321
GA avg1.02.01.51.32.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SVWerder Bremen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%75%
1.525%33%33%50%
2.58%17%17%33%
3.58%17%8%17%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SVWerder Bremen
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricHamburger SVWerder Bremen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricHamburger SVWerder Bremen
Wins11
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—2-10-4
Biggest losses0-25-00-34-0
Goals For4134
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SVWerder Bremen
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h29%71%
Goals45%55%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Werder Bremen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away3.05 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV = 2.05 (league 1.61), Werder Bremen = 0.87 (league 1.50)

Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 5.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 14.9%

vtt 48 , vtd1