Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 14:30 • Mewa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.62) 0.77 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 37.2% 33.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.1%
0 - 1
17.9%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 23.1% 17.9% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 12.4% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.5% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC St. Pauli
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack21%36%
Defense36%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins0%14%7%29%14%21%
Draws29%29%29%14%14%14%
Loses71%57%64%57%71%64%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLLDLDLLD • FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLLLDW

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
GF total58138513
GF avg0.71.10.91.10.70.9
GA total111526151126
GA avg1.62.11.92.11.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05FC St. Pauli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%57%93%
1.521%43%29%57%
2.514%21%7%29%
3.57%21%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score437336

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC St. Pauli
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC St. Pauli
Wins12
Draws11
Losses49

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-42-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-43-1
Goals For3432
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC St. Pauli
Form33%67%
Att38%63%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h100%0%
Goals79%21%
Total48.4%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ 1xBet
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.77 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 0.69 (league 1.62), FC St. Pauli = 0.77 (league 1.45)

FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 23.1% 17.9% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 12.4% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.5% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 33.8%

vtt 34 , vtd1