Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:30 • Red Bull Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
4.15 (league 1.59) 0.67 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.7% 5.2% 2.2%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.0%
3 - 0
9.6%
5 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig 0 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack67%80%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Leipzig Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins100%38%64%63%50%57%
Draws0%25%14%13%17%14%
Loses0%38%21%25%33%29%

Form: RB Leipzig: LWWWWDWWWLWDWL • Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWWWWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric RB Leipzig Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
GF total181129181230
GF avg3.01.42.12.32.02.1
GA total3131661319
GA avg0.51.61.10.82.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%50%86%71%
1.550%21%64%43%
2.529%21%36%21%
3.514%7%14%0%
4.514%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Clean sheets347404
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricRB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricRB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen
Wins44
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-66-01-3
Biggest losses—6-01-23-0
Goals For6664
Goals Against1623

Model comparison

MetricRB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen
Form44%56%
Att45%55%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : RB Leipzig or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away3.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Pinnacle
No2.76 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig = 4.15 (league 1.59), Bayer Leverkusen = 0.67 (league 1.50)

Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig 0 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 5.2% · Away win 2.2%

Vtot 13 , Vtod9