Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 1.62) 0.75 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.0% 10.6% 5.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.6%
2 - 0
10.1%
4 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
VfL Wolfsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 2.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenVfL Wolfsburg
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack91%50%
Defense77%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München VfL Wolfsburg
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins88%86%87%13%43%27%
Draws13%14%13%25%14%20%
Loses0%0%0%63%43%53%

Form: Bayern München: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDW • VfL Wolfsburg: WDDLLLLWLLLDWWL

League goals

Metric Bayern München VfL Wolfsburg
HATHAT
GF total312455131023
GF avg3.93.43.71.61.41.5
GA total651119928
GA avg0.80.70.72.41.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenVfL Wolfsburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%47%80%93%
1.5100%27%40%47%
2.580%0%33%40%
3.547%0%0%7%
4.527%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenVfL Wolfsburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets448011
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenVfL Wolfsburg
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenVfL Wolfsburg
Wins92
Draws12
Losses04

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-53-11-3
Biggest losses0-33-1
Goals For6533
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenVfL Wolfsburg
Form65%35%
Att65%35%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total68.8%31.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.18 @ 1xBet
Draw11.00 @ Pinnacle
Away24.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.23 @ Betano
Under 2.54.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 3.14 (league 1.62), VfL Wolfsburg = 0.75 (league 1.50)

VfL Wolfsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 2.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.0% · Draw 10.6% · Away win 5.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1