Bundesliga — Germany
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:30 • Millerntor-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.62) 2.10 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.4% 19.8% 63.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.4%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
RB Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 5.2% 10.9% 11.4% 8.0% 4.2% 1.7%
1 4.5% 9.4% 9.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 1.9% 4.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC St. PauliRB Leipzig
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack31%50%
Defense63%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC St. Pauli RB Leipzig
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins25%10%17%78%44%61%
Draws25%20%22%0%22%11%
Loses50%70%61%22%33%28%

Form: FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLLLDWDLLD • RB Leipzig: LWWWWDWWWLWDWLLWLW

League goals

Metric FC St. Pauli RB Leipzig
HATHAT
GF total8816221436
GF avg1.00.80.92.41.62.0
GA total151631111324
GA avg1.91.61.71.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC St. PauliRB Leipzig
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%83%89%50%
1.528%56%50%28%
2.56%28%28%28%
3.50%6%11%11%
4.50%0%11%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC St. PauliRB Leipzig
HATHAT
Clean sheets123459
Failed to score448022

Penalties

MetricFC St. PauliRB Leipzig
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFC St. PauliRB Leipzig
Wins24
Draws11
Losses92

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-26-00-6
Biggest losses0-43-11-56-0
Goals For3266
Goals Against4356

Model comparison

MetricFC St. PauliRB Leipzig
Form45%55%
Att38%62%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or RB Leipzig

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.30 @ Betano
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away1.90 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC St. Pauli = 0.86 (league 1.62), RB Leipzig = 2.10 (league 1.45)

RB Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 5.2% 10.9% 11.4% 8.0% 4.2% 1.7%
1 4.5% 9.4% 9.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 1.9% 4.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 63.8%

vtt 16 , vtd1