Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:30 • Volksparkstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.61) 1.52 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 23.8% 36.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 4.5% 6.8% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.1% 10.8% 8.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SVBayer Leverkusen
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack56%56%
Defense56%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins42%9%26%58%45%52%
Draws33%36%35%17%18%17%
Loses25%55%39%25%36%30%

Form: Hamburger SV: DLLWDWLLLDLWWLDLDDDWWDL • Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWWWWLWWLLWWLLWWDWLD

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
GF total19726251944
GF avg1.60.61.12.11.71.9
GA total151934111829
GA avg1.31.71.50.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SVBayer Leverkusen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%74%83%74%
1.530%43%52%30%
2.513%13%35%17%
3.54%13%13%4%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SVBayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Clean sheets246606
Failed to score358044

Penalties

MetricHamburger SVBayer Leverkusen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricHamburger SVBayer Leverkusen
Wins24
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-26-01-3
Biggest losses0-25-01-43-0
Goals For4264
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SVBayer Leverkusen
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.96 @ 1xBet
Draw3.81 @ 1xBet
Away2.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.19 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV = 1.59 (league 1.61), Bayer Leverkusen = 1.52 (league 1.45)

Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 4.5% 6.8% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.1% 10.8% 8.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 36.2%

vtt 37 , vtd1