Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 14:30 • BayArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.60) 0.80 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.0% 13.6% 8.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
3 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 8.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer LeverkusenWerder Bremen
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack43%36%
Defense43%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Werder Bremen
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins56%50%53%38%11%24%
Draws11%13%12%38%33%35%
Loses33%38%35%25%56%41%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWWWWLWWLLWWLL • Werder Bremen: LDWLLWDWDWLDLLDLD

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Werder Bremen
HATHAT
GF total191534111021
GF avg2.11.92.01.41.11.2
GA total101525151934
GA avg1.11.91.51.92.12.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer LeverkusenWerder Bremen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%76%65%76%
1.559%41%35%59%
2.535%24%18%47%
3.512%6%6%18%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer LeverkusenWerder Bremen
HATHAT
Clean sheets404224
Failed to score033246

Penalties

MetricBayer LeverkusenWerder Bremen
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricBayer LeverkusenWerder Bremen
Wins41
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-32-10-4
Biggest losses1-43-00-44-0
Goals For6434
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricBayer LeverkusenWerder Bremen
Form75%25%
Att55%45%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h62%38%
Goals65%35%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw4.51 @ 1xBet
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 2.76 (league 1.60), Werder Bremen = 0.80 (league 1.51)

Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 8.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.0% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 8.2%

vtt 2 , vtd2