Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 14:30 • Mewa Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.61) 1.22 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 28.5% 39.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
VfL Wolfsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 10.4% 12.7% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack47%67%
Defense53%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 VfL Wolfsburg
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins11%11%11%20%38%28%
Draws33%33%33%30%13%22%
Loses56%56%56%50%50%50%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLLDLDLLDDDWL • VfL Wolfsburg: WDDLLLLWLLLDWWLLWD

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 VfL Wolfsburg
HATHAT
GF total71118161127
GF avg0.81.21.01.61.41.5
GA total121931211738
GA avg1.32.11.72.12.12.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%94%83%94%
1.528%44%39%44%
2.511%17%28%39%
3.56%17%0%11%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score538213

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
Wins12
Draws32
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-43-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-38-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against4448

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
Form46%54%
Att41%59%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away3.05 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.14 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 10Bet
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 1.04 (league 1.61), VfL Wolfsburg = 1.22 (league 1.50)

VfL Wolfsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 10.4% 12.7% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 39.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1