Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 17:30 • Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.61) 1.68 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 23.9% 46.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 5.2% 8.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.6% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.2% 7.1% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BerlinBorussia Dortmund
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack53%80%
Defense67%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%33%33%78%44%61%
Draws44%22%33%22%44%33%
Loses22%44%33%0%11%6%

Form: Union Berlin: WLLWDLWLDDWLLWWDDD • Borussia Dortmund: DWWWWDLWWDDWWDWDWW

League goals

Metric Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
GF total15924191635
GF avg1.71.01.32.11.81.9
GA total13142761117
GA avg1.41.61.50.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BerlinBorussia Dortmund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%100%50%
1.539%44%61%28%
2.517%22%33%17%
3.56%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BerlinBorussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Clean sheets224639
Failed to score235000

Penalties

MetricUnion BerlinBorussia Dortmund
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricUnion BerlinBorussia Dortmund
Wins24
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-43-00-2
Biggest losses2-43-0—2-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricUnion BerlinBorussia Dortmund
Form45%55%
Att40%60%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h20%80%
Goals20%80%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away2.14 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin = 1.27 (league 1.61), Borussia Dortmund = 1.68 (league 1.50)

Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 5.2% 8.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.6% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.2% 7.1% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 46.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1