Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:30 • MHPArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.61) 1.07 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 22.9% 22.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfB Stuttgart 0 5.5% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.0% 10.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack65%59%
Defense76%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfB Stuttgart SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins67%50%58%56%20%37%
Draws22%10%16%33%30%32%
Loses11%40%26%11%50%32%

Form: VfB Stuttgart: LWLWWWWWLWDLLWDWWDW • SC Freiburg: LLWWDDDLDWLWLDWWLDW

League goals

Metric VfB Stuttgart SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total132336181331
GF avg1.42.31.92.01.31.6
GA total111526112132
GA avg1.21.51.41.22.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%63%79%79%
1.553%42%53%47%
2.537%21%21%21%
3.511%5%11%11%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets437134
Failed to score202044

Penalties

MetricVfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricVfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
Wins52
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-44-00-3
Biggest losses0-53-11-36-2
Goals For3444
Goals Against5336

Model comparison

MetricVfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
Form52%48%
Att52%48%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : VfB Stuttgart or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 1xBet
Draw4.36 @ 1xBet
Away5.10 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.41 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfB Stuttgart = 1.82 (league 1.61), SC Freiburg = 1.07 (league 1.45)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfB Stuttgart 0 5.5% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.0% 10.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 22.1%

vtt 5 , vtd1