Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 14:30 • Mewa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.61) 0.99 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 28.6% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC Augsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 10.8% 10.6% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC Augsburg
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack71%50%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 FC Augsburg
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins20%20%20%36%22%30%
Draws30%30%30%27%11%20%
Loses50%50%50%36%67%50%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLLDLDLLDDDWLWW • FC Augsburg: WLLLLWDLLLWLWLDLDDWW

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 FC Augsburg
HATHAT
GF total101323141024
GF avg1.01.31.21.31.11.2
GA total132033191837
GA avg1.32.01.71.72.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05FC Augsburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%95%70%85%
1.535%40%40%45%
2.515%15%10%30%
3.55%15%0%15%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC Augsburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101303
Failed to score538336

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC Augsburg
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC Augsburg
Wins11
Draws32
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-43-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-64-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against4464

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05FC Augsburg
Form56%44%
Att59%41%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 1xBet
Away3.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 1.24 (league 1.61), FC Augsburg = 0.99 (league 1.45)

FC Augsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 10.8% 10.6% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 29.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1